sábado, 10 de febrero de 2007

¿Es que no podemos vivir sin petróleo?

El combustible que emplean coches, aviones o camiones para desplazarse; el gasóleo que alimenta la calefacción; el asfalto que cubre carreteras, autovías y autopistas; los plásticos empleados para la fabricación de ordenadores, juguetes, electrodomésticos, envases, etc... son sólo algunos de los productos que se obtienen directa o indirectamente del petróleo, y tal variedad de usos hacen que, hoy por hoy, vivir sin el oro negro sea una quimera.
Del petróleo se dice que es el recurso energético más importante en la historia de la humanidad; un recurso natural no renovable que aporta la mayor parte, un 40% del total de la energía que se consume en el mundo. Según datos de la Corporación de Reservas Estratégicas de productos petrolíferos (CORES), sólo en nuestro país el consumo de productos petrolíferos en 2001 fue de 68’9 millones de toneladas, con un incremento de 2’6 millones de toneladas, un 4%, respecto a 2000. La demanda mundial de petróleo ascendía en 2001 a 76 millones de barriles por día, en 2007, a casi 86, y se prevé que antes de 2030 su consumo aumente un 60%, lo que permite comprender la gran dependencia que la economía mundial tiene del oro negro.
Como he dicho, cualquier incremento en el precio del crudo –se trata de uno de los sectores más imprevisibles de la economía mundial- ejerce un efecto dominó sobre el resto de la cadena económica, provocando una caída del consumo y un aumento de la inflación. Aparte de los efectos que el aumento del precio del petróleo tiene sobre su demanda, lo más alarmante es el impacto del precio de los productos energéticos sobre el índice de precios al consumo (IPC), uno de los indicadores más vigilados por los bancos centrales de los países desarrollados. En la medida en que el alza de los precios del petróleo se refleje en un aumento generalizado de los precios, los bancos centrales reaccionarán elevando las tasas de interés, lo cual termina frenando la expansión económica.
Si el precio del barril de petróleo sube, aumenta el precio de los carburantes, de los gasóleos de calefacción e industriales (transporte, agricultura, aviones, etc.), se incrementa el precio del transporte público y privado, e incluso se disparan los costes de producción de las empresas.
Además, el debate sobre qué hacer despues del fin del petróleo muchas veces se centra sólo en el aspecto energético, olvidando que la sociedad industrial depende también de un producto irreemplazable, sin el que nuestra forma de vida se vería alterada por completo: el plástico.
Y es que el petróleo es imprescindible para la civilización del eterno crecimiento, no sólo por su uso como fuente de energía, sino por su utilización en, por ejemplo:
- Asfaltos: para producir pavimentos y como material sellante en la industria de la construcción.
- Ceras parafínicas: materia prima para fabricar velas y similares, ceras para pisos, fósforos, papel parafinado, vaselinas, etc.
- Polietileno: materia prima para la industria del plástico en general.
- Ácido nafténico: sirve para preparar sales metálicas tales como naftenatos de calcio, cobre, zinc, plomo, cobalto, etc., que se aplican en la industria de pinturas, resinas, poliéster, detergentes, tensoactivos y fungicidas.
- Xilenos mezclados: utilizados en la industria de pinturas y de insecticidas.
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- Azufre: se usa en la vulcanización del caucho, fabricación de algunos tipos de acero y preparación de ácido sulfúrico.
- Queroseno: para estufas domésticas y equipos industriales.
- Disolventes alifáticos: sirven para la extracción de aceites, pinturas, pegantes y adhesivos; para la producción de thinner, gas para quemadores industriales, elaboración de tintas, formulación y fabricación de productos agrícolas, de caucho, ceras y betunes, y para limpieza en general.
- Bases lubricantes: es la materia prima para la producción de los aceites lubricantes.
- Benceno: sirve para fabricar ciclohexano.
- Ciclohexano: es la materia prima para producir caprolactama y ácido adípico con destino al nylon.
- Tolueno: Se usa como disolvente en la fabricación de pinturas, resinas, adhesivos, pegantes, thinner y tintas, y como materia prima del benceno.

¿Alguien puede decirme con qué vamos a hacer carreteras, envases, plaguicidas, cubiertas
de aparatos electrónicos, cueros
sintéticos, detergentes, productos
de limpieza, cosméticos, pinturas,
lubricantes, PVC, fertilizantes
agrícolas, medicamentos, aislantes,
asfaltos, fibras sintéticas para la
ropa, muebles, botellas, pañales,
ordenadores, cámaras de fotos,
baterías, gafas, lentillas, champús,
teléfonos móviles, pastas de dientes,bolígrafos, neumáticos? Sencillamente, sin petróleo no hay forma de hacer todo esto. Fíjate en todo lo que te rodea y verás como nuestra dependencia del oro negro no es sólo energética.

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